Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 88.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 66.8%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Dowd
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Dowd
Stamkos
Last 10: Dowd 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
4
Dowd
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Dowd
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
55.3% (628)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
55.1% (216)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
40.2% (87)
-2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Dowd
Stamkos
Home
53.7% (445)
55.5% (499)
Away
47.7% (407)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Dowd
Stamkos
P1
48.8%
50.7%
P2
49.3%
53.8%
P3
54.0%
55.9%
OT
44.4%
87.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 07:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 05:07 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |