Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 97.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 60.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 72.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Dowd
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Dowd
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Dowd
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
55.9% (499)
-6.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
56.3% (126)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
58.3% (12)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Dowd
Stamkos
Home
46.3% (492)
55.3% (349)
Away
49.8% (532)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Dowd
Stamkos
P1
49.1%
57.0%
P2
48.2%
59.2%
P3
46.9%
51.5%
OT
71.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |