Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dowd wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 55.5% vs Frederic 51.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 65.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 77.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Dowd
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dowd
Frederic
Last 6: Dowd 4-2 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Frederic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Frederic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Dowd
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (617)
53.7% (67)
+4.5%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
50.0% (2)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (144)
0.0% (1)
+47.2%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Dowd is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Dowd shoots right. Frederic is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Dowd
Frederic
Home
58.4% (399)
50.0% (48)
Away
53.9% (369)
59.1% (22)
By Period
Dowd
Frederic
P1
59.0%
40.9%
P2
56.1%
55.6%
P3
54.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2021 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 11, 2021 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |