Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Frederic 54.7% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 90.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 68.5%
Neutral zone
Frederic 71.1%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Dowd
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
57.6% (151)
-5.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
66.7% (3)
-66.7%
On power play, Frederic has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Dowd shoots right. Frederic is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Dowd
Frederic
Home
48.6% (451)
55.6% (81)
Away
49.5% (416)
60.3% (73)
By Period
Dowd
Frederic
P1
49.1%
57.7%
P2
47.3%
54.3%
P3
51.4%
60.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |