Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Frederic 45.0% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 63.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 62.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
Dowd
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
39.8% (88)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
0.0% (1)
+45.5%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. Frederic is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Home / Away
Dowd
Frederic
Home
58.2% (462)
37.8% (45)
Away
49.3% (481)
40.9% (44)
By Period
Dowd
Frederic
P1
55.6%
32.4%
P2
50.5%
45.9%
P3
53.9%
38.9%
Final 5 min
53.1%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
39.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |