Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Frederic 45.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 90.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 66.3%
Neutral zone
Frederic 53.4%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Dowd
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dowd
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Frederic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
42.6% (195)
+9.6%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
64.3% (14)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
25.0% (4)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Frederic is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Dowd
Frederic
Home
51.5% (619)
48.6% (107)
Away
48.1% (576)
38.7% (106)
By Period
Dowd
Frederic
P1
51.7%
37.5%
P2
51.6%
44.8%
P3
47.0%
49.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |