Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Frederic 46.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 87.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 70.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Dowd
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
45.8% (262)
+3.4%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
57.1% (7)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
36.4% (22)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Frederic is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Dowd
Frederic
Home
46.3% (492)
44.1% (152)
Away
49.8% (532)
46.8% (139)
By Period
Dowd
Frederic
P1
49.1%
41.7%
P2
48.2%
48.9%
P3
46.9%
45.6%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |