Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Gourde 49.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 64.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 80.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 58.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Dowd
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
49.1% (731)
+6.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
54.3% (81)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
48.2% (85)
-2.7%
On even strength, Dowd has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Dowd
Gourde
Home
58.2% (462)
50.9% (479)
Away
49.3% (481)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Dowd
Gourde
P1
55.6%
51.2%
P2
50.5%
49.8%
P3
53.9%
47.5%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |