Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Bjugstad 47.3% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 86.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 70.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 80.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Henrique
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Henrique
Bjugstad
Last 7: Henrique 5-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (445)
45.8% (238)
+8.8%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
50.0% (30)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
50.0% (2)
+1.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Henrique is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Henrique shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bjugstad
Home
58.1% (310)
48.9% (133)
Away
51.9% (237)
43.8% (137)
By Period
Henrique
Bjugstad
P1
56.1%
50.0%
P2
53.6%
40.6%
P3
55.7%
49.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |