Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 57.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 85.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 64.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Henrique
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Henrique
Bjugstad
Last 7: Henrique 2-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
3
Henrique
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Henrique
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
49.4% (867)
+2.5%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
56.0% (25)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
40.7% (216)
+2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Henrique is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Henrique shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bjugstad
Home
53.1% (339)
46.5% (480)
Away
49.1% (330)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Henrique
Bjugstad
P1
48.5%
48.7%
P2
48.6%
45.6%
P3
54.2%
49.1%
OT
70.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:06 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:05 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |