Casey Mittelstadt vs Nick Bjugstad
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.7% vs Bjugstad 44.9% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 58.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 63.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 50.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Last 6: Mittelstadt 3-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
3
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (166)
37.6% (85)
+8.8%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
75.0% (4)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
42.9% (7)
-9.6%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Mittelstadt is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Bjugstad is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
Home
44.9% (78)
32.1% (56)
Away
47.7% (107)
50.0% (40)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Bjugstad
P1
58.5%
42.9%
P2
38.5%
40.0%
P3
41.8%
34.4%
Final 5 min
52.6%
22.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |