Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.9%). Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Backlund wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 66.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 62.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 57.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Backlund
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Backlund
Bjugstad
Last 7: Backlund 0-7 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Backlund
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Backlund
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
5
Backlund
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (711)
47.3% (806)
+2.8%
Power Play
43.2% (81)
55.0% (149)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (83)
59.0% (39)
-20.4%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Backlund is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Backlund shoots left. Bjugstad is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bjugstad
Home
51.0% (396)
55.4% (446)
Away
46.1% (479)
43.6% (548)
By Period
Backlund
Bjugstad
P1
43.9%
49.4%
P2
51.5%
48.1%
P3
51.0%
48.6%
OT
12.5%
61.1%
Final 5 min
48.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 02:42 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |