Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.1% vs Roy 51.9% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 55.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 55.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 56.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Bjugstad
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Bjugstad
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Bjugstad
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (280)
51.9% (547)
-3.0%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
54.1% (37)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
53.3% (92)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Bjugstad shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Roy
Home
48.4% (190)
54.0% (328)
Away
49.2% (132)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Bjugstad
Roy
P1
41.7%
53.5%
P2
56.6%
51.6%
P3
48.7%
51.6%
Final 5 min
51.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |