Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 47.7%). Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bjugstad wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.9% vs Roy 47.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 67.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 52.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Bjugstad
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Bjugstad
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Bjugstad
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (398)
48.6% (679)
-1.9%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
48.0% (50)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
34.7% (49)
+27.8%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Bjugstad is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Bjugstad shoots right. Roy is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Roy
Home
47.3% (220)
49.3% (345)
Away
47.5% (217)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Bjugstad
Roy
P1
46.1%
47.6%
P2
46.3%
47.1%
P3
50.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:59 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |