Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.3% vs Cates 45.8% (+4.7%)
Offensive zone
Cates 62.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 67.4%
Neutral zone
Cates 54.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Bjugstad
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (906)
44.3% (271)
+6.4%
Power Play
48.1% (108)
77.8% (18)
-29.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (239)
31.7% (41)
+12.7%
On power play, Cates has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Bjugstad shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Cates
Home
49.8% (643)
52.0% (148)
Away
48.7% (610)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Bjugstad
Cates
P1
49.4%
42.7%
P2
50.5%
42.9%
P3
47.9%
48.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%