Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.1% vs Cates 45.5% (+3.9%)
Offensive zone
Cates 69.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 64.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 54.0%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Bjugstad
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (280)
45.4% (712)
+3.5%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
42.2% (102)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
44.7% (47)
+2.5%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Bjugstad shoots right. Cates is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Cates
Home
48.4% (190)
46.3% (423)
Away
49.2% (132)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Bjugstad
Cates
P1
41.7%
46.3%
P2
56.6%
47.1%
P3
48.7%
42.1%
OT
33.3%
18.2%
Final 5 min
51.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%