Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bjugstad wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.5% vs Johansen 53.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 86.0%
Defensive zone
Johansen 58.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 69.3%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Bjugstad
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bjugstad
Johansen
Last 5: Bjugstad 4-1 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
1
Bjugstad
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (467)
54.7% (1,149)
-5.9%
Power Play
53.4% (58)
49.7% (191)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
47.9% (121)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Bjugstad is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Bjugstad shoots right. Johansen is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Johansen
Home
49.0% (261)
52.5% (739)
Away
49.8% (269)
54.6% (722)
By Period
Bjugstad
Johansen
P1
50.9%
53.8%
P2
50.5%
55.8%
P3
47.2%
51.2%
OT
40.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
51.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 21, 2019 | OT | 02:46 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |