Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings). Bjugstad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.9% vs Johansen 53.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 28-22 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 83.0%
Defensive zone
Johansen 58.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 67.3%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
Bjugstad
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
22
(50 meetings)
28
22
Bjugstad
Johansen
Last 10: Bjugstad 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
11
6
Bjugstad
Johansen
17 total
Defensive Zone
Even
9
9
Bjugstad
Johansen
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
8
7
Bjugstad
Johansen
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,634)
53.1% (11,017)
-4.5%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
56.2% (2,163)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
50.5% (978)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Bjugstad shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Johansen
Home
49.8% (4,020)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
48.1% (4,057)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Bjugstad
Johansen
P1
49.0%
53.2%
P2
49.1%
53.9%
P3
48.4%
52.8%
OT
61.3%
58.2%
Final 5 min
47.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:35 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 21, 2019 | OT | 02:46 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |