Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 53.8% vs Johansen 52.4% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 74.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 69.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Bjugstad
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Bjugstad
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Bjugstad
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (245)
49.4% (1,010)
+6.5%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
62.3% (236)
-62.3%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
67.2% (67)
-10.1%
On power play, Johansen has a +62.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Bjugstad is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Bjugstad shoots right. Johansen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Johansen
Home
53.2% (111)
54.7% (655)
Away
56.9% (144)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Bjugstad
Johansen
P1
44.6%
52.2%
P2
61.4%
50.7%
P3
61.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |