Nick Bjugstad vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 61.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (212)
47.6% (189)
+3.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
100.0% (2)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (34)
29.4% (17)
+14.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Bjugstad shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.3% (151)
48.5% (132)
Away
46.0% (100)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.9%
51.4%
P2
56.8%
41.3%
P3
48.3%
48.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |