Nick Bjugstad vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 67.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 59.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
1
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (867)
45.4% (527)
+4.0%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
41.2% (17)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (216)
44.9% (138)
-4.2%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Bjugstad shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
46.5% (480)
46.1% (336)
Away
48.9% (628)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.7%
49.1%
P2
45.6%
45.3%
P3
49.1%
42.0%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 03:19 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 02:13 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |