Nick Bjugstad vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 55.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
0
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (398)
50.3% (479)
-3.6%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
50.0% (28)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
30.0% (50)
+32.5%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Bjugstad shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.3% (220)
48.9% (270)
Away
47.5% (217)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.1%
48.7%
P2
46.3%
50.0%
P3
50.4%
47.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
47.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |