Nick Bjugstad vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 18-11 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 69.0%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 59.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
11
(29 meetings)
18
11
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Bjugstad 6-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
6
5
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
8
2
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,634)
44.9% (8,756)
+3.7%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
50.7% (839)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
37.9% (879)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Bjugstad shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.8% (4,020)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
48.1% (4,057)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.0%
45.1%
P2
49.1%
43.9%
P3
48.4%
45.3%
OT
61.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
47.3%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 03:19 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 02:13 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 2 | 18:33 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |