Nick Bjugstad vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 70.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 66.0%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (280)
47.6% (231)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
83.3% (12)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
33.3% (21)
+13.9%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Bjugstad shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.4% (190)
51.2% (164)
Away
49.2% (132)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
41.7%
50.0%
P2
56.6%
46.2%
P3
48.7%
49.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |