Nick Bjugstad vs William Karlsson

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

William Karlsson holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Bjugstad 49.3% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-7.0%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Karlsson 88.3%
Defensive zone Bjugstad 50.9%
Neutral zone Karlsson 66.1%
Result William Karlsson favored at 77.1%
22.9%
77.1%
Bjugstad Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 4 (9 meetings)
5
4
Bjugstad Karlsson
Last 9: Bjugstad 5-4 Karlsson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
4
Bjugstad Karlsson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
0
Bjugstad Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad Karlsson
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Bjugstad
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (906)
56.3% (739)
-5.6%
Power Play
48.1% (108)
58.6% (181)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (239)
47.2% (53)
-2.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +10.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Bjugstad shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Karlsson
Home
49.8% (643)
56.5% (462)
Away
48.7% (610)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Bjugstad
Karlsson
P1
49.4%
57.1%
P2
50.5%
55.2%
P3
47.9%
56.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%
48.0%
49.2%
Karlsson
64.0%
57.5%
56.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 5, 2024 3 12:00 Offensive William Karlsson
Apr 5, 2024 1 11:55 Offensive Nick Bjugstad
Feb 8, 2024 2 09:54 Offensive Nick Bjugstad
Feb 8, 2024 1 15:55 Offensive William Karlsson
Feb 8, 2024 1 11:51 Defensive Nick Bjugstad
Feb 8, 2024 1 06:17 Neutral Nick Bjugstad
Nov 25, 2023 3 18:55 Offensive William Karlsson
Nov 25, 2023 2 16:18 Offensive William Karlsson
Nov 25, 2023 1 12:35 Defensive Nick Bjugstad