Nick Bjugstad vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.9% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 89.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 80.3%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 86.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 82.8%
17.2%
82.8%
Bjugstad
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Bjugstad
Karlsson
Last 9: Bjugstad 6-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Bjugstad
Karlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
0
Bjugstad
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (398)
58.6% (597)
-11.9%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
57.9% (57)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
51.9% (52)
+10.6%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Bjugstad shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Karlsson
Home
47.3% (220)
59.6% (344)
Away
47.5% (217)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Bjugstad
Karlsson
P1
46.1%
53.1%
P2
46.3%
62.1%
P3
50.4%
60.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |