Nick Bjugstad vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.1% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-8.8%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 62.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 53.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 58.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Bjugstad
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (280)
58.5% (135)
-9.6%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
80.0% (5)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
44.4% (18)
+2.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Bjugstad shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Karlsson
Home
48.4% (190)
63.7% (91)
Away
49.2% (132)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Bjugstad
Karlsson
P1
41.7%
54.4%
P2
56.6%
66.7%
P3
48.7%
51.9%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%