Nick Bjugstad vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.9% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 39-27 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 69.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 68.7%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 69.1%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Bjugstad
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
27
(66 meetings)
39
27
Bjugstad
Karlsson
Last 10: Bjugstad 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
13
13
Bjugstad
Karlsson
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
14
9
Bjugstad
Karlsson
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
12
5
Bjugstad
Karlsson
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,634)
51.8% (7,849)
-3.2%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
54.8% (1,048)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
44.2% (1,109)
+0.1%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Bjugstad shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Karlsson
Home
49.8% (4,020)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
48.1% (4,057)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Bjugstad
Karlsson
P1
49.0%
50.3%
P2
49.1%
51.3%
P3
48.4%
52.4%
OT
61.3%
44.9%
Final 5 min
47.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 09:54 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 15:55 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:51 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |