Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.4%). Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 47.5% vs Bonino 47.6% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 62.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 68.1%
Neutral zone
Bonino 50.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
MacKinnon
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
MacKinnon
Bonino
Last 7: MacKinnon 4-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
1
MacKinnon
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
MacKinnon
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (365)
48.2% (926)
-3.0%
Power Play
57.1% (63)
48.6% (109)
+8.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
MacKinnon shoots right. Bonino is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Bonino
Home
48.0% (225)
47.8% (653)
Away
45.8% (203)
47.0% (592)
By Period
MacKinnon
Bonino
P1
41.1%
45.9%
P2
49.6%
47.0%
P3
48.9%
49.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 1 | 17:10 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |