Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bonino wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 52.5% vs Roy 46.0% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 65.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 51.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 57.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Bonino
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Bonino
Roy
Last 6: Bonino 2-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Bonino
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Bonino
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (395)
41.5% (275)
+13.4%
Power Play
60.9% (110)
81.8% (11)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (186)
61.3% (31)
-17.8%
On power play, Roy has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Bonino is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Bonino shoots left. Roy is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Bonino
Roy
Home
52.3% (363)
46.1% (167)
Away
53.4% (328)
43.3% (150)
By Period
Bonino
Roy
P1
52.0%
46.7%
P2
56.1%
38.5%
P3
51.5%
50.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |