Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.0%). Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.5% vs Roy 48.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 59.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 51.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Bonino
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Bonino
Roy
Last 6: Bonino 2-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Bonino
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (324)
48.3% (633)
-0.2%
Power Play
57.9% (38)
52.1% (48)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
43.7% (87)
+0.6%
On power play, Bonino has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Bonino shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Bonino
Roy
Home
52.0% (244)
50.8% (376)
Away
43.7% (206)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Bonino
Roy
P1
48.0%
53.8%
P2
42.9%
43.5%
P3
53.9%
46.4%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:32 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |