Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Bonino wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Roy 48.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 61.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 59.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 53.1%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Bonino
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Bonino
Roy
Last 8: Bonino 4-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bonino
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bonino
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
49.5% (746)
+2.2%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
50.7% (75)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
42.7% (110)
+1.2%
On power play, Bonino has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Bonino shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Bonino
Roy
Home
48.2% (461)
47.7% (491)
Away
54.5% (464)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Bonino
Roy
P1
54.1%
51.1%
P2
49.7%
44.6%
P3
50.7%
50.9%
OT
40.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 07:51 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |