Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Roy 48.4% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 53.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 55.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Bonino
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Bonino
Roy
Last 10: Bonino 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
5
Bonino
Roy
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
4
Bonino
Roy
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Bonino
Roy
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
48.7% (3,719)
+1.9%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
49.5% (283)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
45.5% (477)
-0.9%
On power play, Bonino has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Bonino shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Bonino
Roy
Home
51.2% (5,507)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Bonino
Roy
P1
50.6%
50.8%
P2
48.5%
46.3%
P3
51.1%
48.1%
OT
45.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:32 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 07:51 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |