Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.8% vs Roy 47.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 50.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 66.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 72.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Bonino
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Bonino
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (305)
47.5% (617)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (101)
46.4% (97)
+2.1%
On even strength, Bonino has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Bonino is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Bonino shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Bonino
Roy
Home
53.1% (177)
47.2% (398)
Away
49.3% (229)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Bonino
Roy
P1
55.9%
48.6%
P2
49.6%
48.8%
P3
47.6%
43.9%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |