Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bonino wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Seguin 55.4% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 80.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 51.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 63.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Bonino
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bonino
Seguin
Last 5: Bonino 4-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
56.5% (712)
-4.8%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
59.7% (67)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
44.9% (49)
-1.0%
On even strength, Seguin has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Bonino shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Bonino
Seguin
Home
48.2% (461)
58.5% (402)
Away
54.5% (464)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Bonino
Seguin
P1
54.1%
58.4%
P2
49.7%
54.7%
P3
50.7%
54.1%
OT
40.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 10:26 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |