Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Seguin 53.6% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 38-35 in 73 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 68.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 55.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 57.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Bonino
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
35
(73 meetings)
38
35
Bonino
Seguin
Last 10: Bonino 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
9
13
Bonino
Seguin
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
19
12
Bonino
Seguin
31 total
Neutral Zone
Even
10
10
Bonino
Seguin
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
53.7% (8,071)
-3.1%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
55.9% (810)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
49.3% (762)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Bonino shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Bonino
Seguin
Home
51.2% (5,507)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Bonino
Seguin
P1
50.6%
52.8%
P2
48.5%
53.3%
P3
51.1%
54.7%
OT
45.7%
54.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 10:26 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 1, 2020 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 1, 2020 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 1, 2020 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |