Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.8% vs Seguin 55.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 66.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 72.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 57.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Bonino
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Bonino
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Bonino
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (305)
56.9% (478)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (101)
51.3% (76)
-2.8%
On even strength, Seguin has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bonino is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Bonino shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Bonino
Seguin
Home
53.1% (177)
57.4% (317)
Away
49.3% (229)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Bonino
Seguin
P1
55.9%
50.3%
P2
49.6%
60.4%
P3
47.6%
58.0%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
42.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |