Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.5% vs Seguin 54.2% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 76.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 51.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 56.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Bonino
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Bonino
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Bonino
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (324)
55.0% (713)
-6.9%
Power Play
57.9% (38)
56.7% (104)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
47.2% (53)
-2.9%
On even strength, Seguin has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Bonino shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Bonino
Seguin
Home
52.0% (244)
56.2% (443)
Away
43.7% (206)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Bonino
Seguin
P1
48.0%
54.2%
P2
42.9%
52.9%
P3
53.9%
57.1%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |