Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Gourde 49.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 56.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 65.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 54.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Bonino
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Bonino
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
0
Bonino
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
49.1% (731)
+2.6%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
54.3% (81)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
48.2% (85)
-4.3%
On power play, Bonino has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Bonino shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Bonino
Gourde
Home
48.2% (461)
50.9% (479)
Away
54.5% (464)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Bonino
Gourde
P1
54.1%
51.2%
P2
49.7%
49.8%
P3
50.7%
47.5%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 15:51 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |