Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.3% vs Cates 40.4% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 59.8%
Defensive zone
Cates 59.2%
Neutral zone
Cates 63.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Foligno
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Foligno
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Foligno
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (50)
40.4% (841)
+11.6%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
42.4% (66)
+24.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
32.7% (147)
-32.7%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Foligno shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Foligno
Cates
Home
51.2% (41)
38.2% (566)
Away
61.3% (31)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Foligno
Cates
P1
55.6%
40.5%
P2
48.0%
42.4%
P3
65.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
81.3%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Noah Cates |