Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.0% vs Cates 45.8% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 83.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 50.6%
Neutral zone
Foligno 61.7%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Foligno
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Foligno
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (249)
44.3% (271)
+9.1%
Power Play
53.2% (154)
77.8% (18)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
31.7% (41)
+8.9%
On power play, Cates has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Foligno shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Foligno
Cates
Home
57.3% (225)
52.0% (148)
Away
47.1% (210)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Foligno
Cates
P1
53.0%
42.7%
P2
51.8%
42.9%
P3
52.6%
48.5%
Final 5 min
53.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |