Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.8% vs Cates 45.5% (+4.8%)
Offensive zone
Cates 64.8%
Defensive zone
Foligno 67.8%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.8%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Foligno
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (261)
45.4% (712)
+3.6%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
42.2% (102)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
44.7% (47)
+2.4%
On power play, Foligno has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Foligno shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Foligno
Cates
Home
48.9% (178)
46.3% (423)
Away
50.6% (176)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Foligno
Cates
P1
40.4%
46.3%
P2
55.8%
47.1%
P3
51.2%
42.1%
OT
33.3%
18.2%
Final 5 min
53.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%