Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 51.8% vs Johansen 52.4% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone
Johansen 58.8%
Defensive zone
Foligno 56.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 57.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Foligno
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (31)
49.4% (1,010)
+8.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
62.3% (236)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
67.2% (67)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Foligno is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Foligno shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Foligno
Johansen
Home
56.3% (16)
54.7% (655)
Away
56.5% (23)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Foligno
Johansen
P1
50.0%
52.2%
P2
66.7%
50.7%
P3
54.5%
54.8%
Final 5 min
100.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%