Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 53.1%). Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.0% vs Johansen 52.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 67.7%
Defensive zone
Johansen 80.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 55.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 80.8%
19.2%
80.8%
Foligno
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Foligno
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
4
0
Foligno
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (249)
51.9% (597)
+1.5%
Power Play
53.2% (154)
57.9% (133)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
54.3% (81)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Foligno is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Foligno shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Foligno
Johansen
Home
57.3% (225)
55.8% (387)
Away
47.1% (210)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Foligno
Johansen
P1
53.0%
50.0%
P2
51.8%
56.2%
P3
52.6%
52.6%
Final 5 min
53.3%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |