Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.3% vs Johansen 58.2% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Johansen 62.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 65.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Foligno
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (50)
59.8% (625)
-7.8%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
58.2% (196)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.9% (27)
-51.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Foligno is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Foligno shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Foligno
Johansen
Home
51.2% (41)
60.3% (436)
Away
61.3% (31)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Foligno
Johansen
P1
55.6%
61.3%
P2
48.0%
60.4%
P3
65.0%
56.0%
Final 5 min
81.3%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%