Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Foligno wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Johansen 53.3% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 72.7%
Defensive zone
Johansen 75.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 74.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Foligno
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Foligno
Johansen
Last 10: Foligno 7-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
1
Foligno
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
5
3
Foligno
Johansen
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Foligno
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,810)
53.1% (11,017)
-4.8%
Power Play
52.3% (730)
56.2% (2,163)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (455)
50.5% (978)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Foligno shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Foligno
Johansen
Home
49.9% (2,013)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
47.2% (1,984)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Foligno
Johansen
P1
47.6%
53.2%
P2
50.4%
53.9%
P3
48.3%
52.8%
OT
29.7%
58.2%
Final 5 min
52.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |