Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.4% vs 56.8%). Foligno wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 51.8% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 52.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 57.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Foligno
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (31)
56.6% (1,064)
+1.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.4% (260)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
54.0% (261)
-4.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Foligno shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Foligno
O'Reilly
Home
56.3% (16)
54.9% (801)
Away
56.5% (23)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Foligno
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
58.0%
P2
66.7%
56.7%
P3
54.5%
55.4%
Final 5 min
100.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%