Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.6% vs 55.8%). Foligno wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.3% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 56.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 58.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Foligno
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (50)
56.1% (690)
-4.1%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
64.6% (96)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
45.9% (109)
-45.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +45.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Foligno shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Foligno
O'Reilly
Home
51.2% (41)
58.3% (408)
Away
61.3% (31)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Foligno
O'Reilly
P1
55.6%
57.7%
P2
48.0%
54.8%
P3
65.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
81.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%