Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +21.0% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.3% vs Jarvis 46.8% (+21.0%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 50.8%
Defensive zone
Foligno 62.0%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 51.1%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Foligno
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (50)
37.5% (24)
+14.5%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
0.0% (1)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On power play, Foligno has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Foligno is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Foligno shoots left. Jarvis is 26.3% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Foligno
Jarvis
Home
51.2% (41)
38.5% (13)
Away
61.3% (31)
30.8% (13)
By Period
Foligno
Jarvis
P1
55.6%
40.0%
P2
48.0%
20.0%
P3
65.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
81.3%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.6%