Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Jarvis 40.5% (+14.2%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 71.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 80.7%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 52.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Foligno
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (495)
32.1% (81)
+16.6%
Power Play
56.9% (65)
38.6% (57)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (144)
28.6% (14)
+15.2%
On power play, Foligno has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Foligno shoots left. Jarvis is 29.6% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Foligno
Jarvis
Home
49.6% (359)
40.6% (69)
Away
47.2% (345)
28.9% (83)
By Period
Foligno
Jarvis
P1
46.7%
30.9%
P2
52.7%
30.6%
P3
46.7%
47.1%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
28.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.2%